Of the 98 teams in Europe’s top-ranked leagues, only one – Manchester City – are still in with a shot of winning each trophy they’ve competed for this season. The fact that we are in April and still able to write that is a remarkable testament to the quality of Pep Guardiola’s side but their place in the Champions League is at risk with Tottenham holding a 1-0 lead heading into tonight’s second leg.It was always going to be tough to get a result from Spurs’ new stadium but the sheer speed and coordination of Spurs’ pressing was immaculate, with Christian Eriksen and Son Heung-Min clamping anything that moved down the flanks as Dele Alli reduced Fernandinho’s influence.Last week Guardiola, perhaps wanting to keep the tie in the balance until tonight’s second leg, was more conservative than normal, with Kevin de Bruyne dropped and then brought on in the remaining minutes, whilst Fabian Delph played alongside Fernandinho too in what as a rather unusual approach.Tonight will be a much more attacking approach and the market expects home turf to prove all the difference, but things might not be that simple. Last season City went off favourites in the 90-minute market against Liverpool when trying to turn around a 3-0 deficit, took a 2nd minute lead and lost 2-1.This is a different task, as they do not have so much chasing to do, but if Tottenham manage to score once then City will need three goals and whilst if any side is capable, they are, of breaking down this Spurs defence in such a situation it is an extremely tall task – even for Sergio Aguero, Raheem Sterling, Leroy Sane and David Silva.Toby Alderweireld, Jan Vertonghen and Danny Rose were all tremendous last week and Hugo Lloris’ penalty save last week (along with another clean sheet since) should give him plenty of confidence after a tough couple of weeks. They will present an intimidating rearguard for City to break down from the first minute tonight.A potential season-ending injury to Harry Kane is a blow, but Spurs have coped without him for long periods of time already this season. There were four Premier League wins without Kane in the team after he was injured against Manchester United, plus a hugely impressive first-leg win against Borussia Dortmund in the last 16. Heung Min-Son scored in four straight games after Kane was injured plus the winning goal last week and with Erisken and Alli in midfield, and the potential for Lucas Moura – who scored a hat-trick against Huddersfield at the weekend – to play on the break is immense.Man City v Tottenham HotspurUEFA Champions League Quarter-Final 2nd Leg20:00 BT Sport 2 / BT Sport 4K UHDHEAD TO HEAD RECORD(Maximum 10 matches)APR 2019 CHAMPIONS LEAGUE Tottenham 1-0 Manchester CityOCT 2018 PREMIER LEAGUE Tottenham 0-1 Manchester CityAPR 2018 PREMIER LEAGUE Tottenham 1-3 Manchester CityDEC 2017 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 4-1 TottenhamJAN 2017 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 2-2 TottenhamOCT 2016 PREMIER LEAGUE Tottenham 2-0 Manchester CityFEB 2016 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 1-2 TottenhamSEP 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Tottenham 4-1 Manchester CityMAY 2015 PREMIER LEAGUE Tottenham 0-1 Manchester CityOCT 2014 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 4-1 TottenhamJAN 2014 PREMIER LEAGUE Tottenham 1-5 Manchester CityNOV 2013 PREMIER LEAGUE Manchester City 6-0 TottenhamCity are absolutely capable of turning this round, but Tottenham are just 13/20 to score with starsports.bet and that will leave City needing three goals. It is hard to see why, in such a specific situation, they are as big as 17/2, but it is impossible to ignore 20/21 on a two goal handicap, which wins as long as City don’t win by more than one.RECOMMENDED BETS (scale of 1-100 points)5pts SPURS (+2) at 21/20 with starsports.bet1pt MAN CITY 2-1 at 15/2 with starsports.betPROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFIT 272.22 points(excluding Premier League ante-post, RBC Heritage)
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The “picks and shovels” of the oil sector have been destroyed. The price of oil is now down 59% from its June 2014 peak. A barrel of crude currently costs $44.39. It hasn’t been that cheap since the financial crisis. The big oil companies are struggling like you’d expect. Exxon is down 21% in the last year. Chevron is down 33%. ConocoPhillips, the largest independent US oil and gas company, is down 38%. We told you earlier this week that big oil companies like Exxon are drastically cutting back spending to survive the crash in oil prices. Oil companies have laid off more workers during the first half of 2015 than during the past three years combined. And they’ve delayed or canceled $200 billion worth of projects this year. Reuters reported that ConocoPhillips is cutting spending: [The company said] it would cut capital expenditure as low crude oil prices persist. The Houston-based company said it would cut 2015 capital spending to $11 billion from $11.5 billion, and also lowered its forecast for operating expenses. Chief Executive Officer Ryan Lance said Conoco was preparing for “lower, more volatile prices.” • Oil service companies are the “picks and shovels” of the oil industry… Oil service companies sell equipment and services to big oil companies like Exxon and ConocoPhillips. When a big oil company like ConocoPhillips cuts “capital spending,” it usually buys less from oil service companies. Schlumberger and Halliburton are the two biggest oil service companies. Both reported bad results in July. Here’s Bloomberg on Halliburton: Halliburton has seen sales fall 39 percent in the U.S. and Canada where the industry has reduced the number of operating drilling rigs by more than half. Explorers have cut more than $100 billion from global spending plans for the year after oil prices fell by half from a high in June 2014. And here’s the Wall Street Journal on Schlumberger: Schlumberger Ltd.’s second-quarter earnings fell 30% on plunging revenue, as the oil-services sector continues to grapple with weak oil prices. Schlumberger reported a profit of $1.12 billion, or 88 cents a share, down from $1.6 billion, or $1.21 a share, a year earlier. Revenue dropped 25% to $9.01 billion. Halliburton’s stock dropped 41% over the past year. Schlumberger’s dropped 24%. OIH, an ETF that holds the largest oil service companies, dropped 42%. Stocks of the smaller oil service companies have dropped even more. National Oilwell Varco’s (NOV) stock fell 51% in the last year. Seadrill’s (SDRL) fell an incredible 78%. Both of these companies earn most of their revenue by selling, leasing, or operating drilling rigs. When oil prices are low, big oil companies just don’t use their services as much. Oil service is a cyclical industry. It goes through huge booms and huge busts. These stocks will soar again someday, as all cyclical industries do after huge busts. The oil service sector is on our crisis watch list. But it’s too early to buy. We expect more pain in the oil service industry before we see a bottom. Recommended Links Here’s THE best resource in the world for maximizing your Social Security benefit… Three of America’s foremost retirement experts have just published the definitive guide to getting the most money possible from Social Security. Here’s our review and highlights of the best ways to maximize your benefits…learn more. • There’s one cyclical industry that has likely bottomed… Gold miners go through huge booms and busts just like the oil service sector. The HUI Gold Bugs index, a popular index of gold mining stocks, gained 1,702% during the bull market that began in the early 2000s. Now it’s down 83% since mid-2011. Those might sound like incredible numbers. But they’re actually normal for gold mining stocks. Gold mining stocks are probably the most volatile stocks in the world. Get in at the wrong time and you’ll learn a painful lesson. But if you get in at the right time, they can make you obscenely rich. As we mentioned, huge booms follow huge busts in cyclical industries. And we think gold miners are ready to boom again. After falling 83% in the last three-and-a-half years, they’re like a coiled spring waiting to explode. Click here to read more about the once-in-a-lifetime potential in gold mining stocks right now. • Switching gears, a US territory has defaulted on its debt… On Monday, Puerto Rico missed a $58 million bond payment. It was Puerto Rico’s first default in 117 years. The New York Times explained: For years, the commonwealth borrowed too much money, trying to paper over declining government revenue and prevent deep cuts in services and layoffs of public workers. Puerto Rico easily found lenders willing to extend the government more debt. The bonds made for hot investments across the mainland United States because the interest is often “triple tax exempt,” meaning the holder does not pay state, federal or city income taxes. A default by Puerto Rico was bound to happen. For years, the government spent more money than it snatched up in taxes. And it borrowed to make up the difference. It doesn’t matter if you’re a person, a company, or a government. You can only hide a spending problem by borrowing for so long. Puerto Rico owes creditors $73 billion. But it can’t declare bankruptcy. The Economist explains why: Because Puerto Rico is not a state, it cannot make use of the public-sector version of federal bankruptcy law known as Chapter Nine, which has been invoked by insolvent governments on the mainland (such as Detroit) to reduce their liabilities. Puerto Rico’s Governor Alejandro García Padilla wants to rework the payment schedule with creditors. He said: The goal is going to be a moratorium that is negotiated with bondholders to delay debt payments for a number of years, so money is available to be invested here in Puerto Rico, to create jobs. … By sharing the sacrifice with our creditors, we will be able to move forward. Víctor Suárez, Padilla’s chief of staff, explained why Puerto Rico didn’t pay its bill when he simply said, “We don’t have the money.” There’s been talk that Puerto Rico’s debt problems could spill over into US cities with shaky finances. We’ll know more by September 1. That’s when Puerto Rico’s government will have a proposal for restructuring the debt. • Casey Research has boots on the ground in Puerto Rico… Casey Research Senior Investment Strategist Louis James lives in Puerto Rico. He says things aren’t perfect there. But they’re not terrible, either: I see a lot of recently shuttered businesses. There’s a Radisson around the corner from my place that closed a couple months ago, and the entire neighborhood is much quieter. But I’m seeing new businesses as well. It’s easy for reporters to fly in and find some boarded up windows to stand in front of while on camera. But I see gentrification of some areas. Louis added that the Puerto Rican government is willing to cut its spending: Meanwhile, the government is actually cutting spending. Can you imagine? What a concept! And I don’t mean decreasing the budget increases and calling that a cut, as they do in Washington. I mean real, bona fide reductions in government spending. This will, of course, cause all sorts of pain and political backlash. But if the government has the cojones to do enough of it and see it through, Puerto Rico could become an amazing turnaround story and end up a shining example to the rest of the United States. I doubt that will happen though. As Doug Casey says, if there’s one thing you can count on, it’s for governments to do the wrong thing. Chart of the Day Today’s chart compares the two biggest crashes in the price of oil since 2000. The current crash is bad. Oil is down 59% from its peak in June 2014. But it’s not even close to as bad as the crash during the financial crisis. In 2008/9, oil crashed from its all-time high of $145.31 down to $30.28 per barrel… a decline of 79%. Yesterday, the price of crude fell to $44.39 per barrel. It’s very close to breaking below its recent low of $44.02. It would still need to fall about another 50%, down to $22.67, to be as big a crash as the one during the financial crisis. As we showed you earlier, oil companies are already having a hard time with oil at $44 per barrel. If oil drops to anywhere near $22, expect to see a huge wave of bankruptcies. – Doug Casey’s International Speculator is 50% OFF In August, a subscription to Doug’s longest-running and most successful newsletter will double. Lock in the current rate before it’s gone and hear from Doug and his team as they scour the world for truly explosive opportunities in junior resources. Details are here. — Regards, Justin Spittler Delray Beach, Florida August 07, 2015